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In this edition of VantagePoint, we review the shape of historical recoveries from bear markets and recessions. We believe that both a V-shaped and a disastrous L-shaped economic recovery are unlikely, with a W- or U-shaped economic recovery more probable.
As pressures on pensions mount, we believe financial executives are best served by re-evaluating major decisions in terms of the true tools at their disposal. In this paper we review four levers that are fundamental drivers of pension costs and outcomes: asset returns, liability hedging, contribution policy, and benefit management. Balancing these levers is critical to enabling greater probability of success in managing pension risk, and we introduce a framework for chief financial officers and other financial executives to use in doing so.
In the first six months of 2021, according to Cambridge Associates indexes, private equity and venture capital in the developed markets outperformed those in emerging markets. The Cambridge Associates LLC Developed Markets ex US Private Equity and Venture Capital (PE/VC) Index returned 18.7% in the first half of 2021, in USD terms, with significantly better […]
In 2020, the Cambridge Associates LLC Developed Markets (ex US) Private Equity and Venture Capital (PE/VC) Index® returned 33.1% in USD terms. The index suffered in first quarter during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic but recovered quickly and ended the year with the fourth-highest quarterly return since the inception of the benchmark. Because the […]
It has been difficult to find a more out-of-favor sector in institutional investors’ portfolios than energy over the past five years, and with the recent spread of COVID-19 reducing demand for oil & gas, that reality appears set to continue – creating both challenges and opportunities. Amid the sector’s ongoing evolution, the energy PE investment strategy that dominated the market has become outdated, and investors who wish to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market must re-think their approach.
With underlying assets that provide essential services, infrastructure debt can play a key role in institutional investor portfolios. The asset class offers the possibility of delivering attractive returns, matching long-term liabilities, and diversifying traditional business cycle-sensitive investment holdings. Within infrastructure debt, private debt has been of particular institutional interest, as it offers increased return potential in […]
According to Cambridge Associates (CA) indexes, private equity and venture capital (PE/VC) in the developed markets underperformed those in emerging markets in first half 2022. The Cambridge Associates LLC Developed Markets ex US PE/VC Index returned -11.1% in the period, in USD terms, and -3.3% in euros. Because returns are measured in US dollars, the […]
Let’s Get Smarter as Co-investing Gets Harder. Investor interest in co-investing has grown in recent years, given the benefits (discussed in more detail below) for both general partners (GPs) and limited partners (LPs). The co-investment universe has grown rapidly, with Cambridge Associates (CA) estimating total private equity co-investment activity in 2022 to have been ~$50 […]
In an increasingly complex landscape, the fiduciary management of robust 403(b) plans has become more challenging than ever.
For many investors, 2024 started where last year left off. Hopes of an economic soft landing are growing, inflation is slowly receding, and last year’s winners (e.g., mega-cap growth stocks) continue to rip higher. Credit markets have seen more muted gains after a gangbuster fourth quarter 2023, but strong demand and rising confidence mean issuance […]